NASA Doubles Down on the Moon
Summary
This episode of Motley Fool Money’s Hidden Gems Team covers three major developments: Greg Able’s inaugural CEO letter at Berkshire Hathaway (reassuring, culture-preserving, operationally focused), OpenAI’s historic $110 billion funding round (with Nvidia, Amazon, and SoftBank as investors), and NASA’s accelerated Artemis moon program (shifting from every 3 years to one mission every 10 months). Each segment surfaces specific investment angles and stocks to watch.
Stocks and Investments Mentioned:
-
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A / BRK.B) — Discussed as a “Hidden Gem” because it is widely misunderstood: P/E looks expensive but misses $373.3B in cash, a massive equity portfolio, and operating businesses. Q4 operating earnings slid 30% (primarily insurance underwriting down 54%, investment income down 25%) due to falling short-term rates and soft casualty pricing. Greg Able is managing the dry powder with discipline — no forced investments in an expensive market. Takeaway: The massive cash hoard positions Berkshire for a significant acquisition when the market creates opportunity; patient investors may be rewarded. No specific buy/sell recommendation made, but tone is favorable long-term.
-
OpenAI (private) — Valued at $730B pre-money after the $110B round ($840B+ post-money). If public, would be the 14th largest S&P 500 constituent. Not investable directly. IPO speculation: hosts believe this may be the final pre-IPO round. Takeaway: Watch for an eventual OpenAI IPO; the company is now an AI infrastructure developer as much as a software firm.
-
Nvidia (NVDA) — Invested $30B in OpenAI (≈3.5% stake). Partnership deepens hardware dependency and compute revenue streams. Takeaway: Nvidia’s investment cements its position as essential infrastructure for the leading AI frontier model company.
-
Amazon (AMZN) — Invested $50B in OpenAI (≈6% stake). Partnership includes OpenAI developing customer-facing agentic commerce tools for Amazon’s platform. Takeaway: Amazon is not just a compute provider but a distribution channel for OpenAI’s agentic products; a bullish signal for both companies’ enterprise AI strategies.
-
SoftBank (SFTBY) — Provided the remainder of the $110B round. Mentioned, no detailed analysis.
-
Data center companies (unnamed) — Highlighted by Matt Frankl as an attractive “below-the-radar” beneficiary of AI infrastructure spending. OpenAI is “pre-paying for compute” via its Stargate initiative ($500B plan for data centers and energy infrastructure). Takeaway: Data center REITs and operators are positioned as compounding beneficiaries of all AI spending — worth researching further.
-
Lockheed Martin (LMT) — Main contractor on the Orion crew capsule. Benefits from every crewed Artemis mission. Takeaway: A direct, recurring revenue beneficiary if NASA’s accelerated cadence (one mission per 10 months) holds.
-
Northrop Grumman (NOC) — Involved in the propulsion of the Orion capsule. Similar thesis to LMT.
-
Intuitive Machines (LUNR) — Ticker is literally “LUNR.” Selected by NASA to develop cargo capabilities for Artemis missions. Takeaway: Most direct pure-play lunar infrastructure stock mentioned; speculative but thematically on-point.
-
Kratos Defense and Security (KTOS) — Matt Frankl’s stated favorite space stock. Known for drones but also a leader in satellite communications — positioned as a likely beneficiary of Earth-Moon communication relay infrastructure needed for a permanent lunar presence. Takeaway: Interesting dual-use (defense + space) play with a favorable framing from the host.
-
SpaceX (private) / Blue Origin (private) — Both selected to provide commercial lunar landers for Artemis. Not publicly investable. Noted for context.
-
Berkshire legacy problem assets (mentioned as concerns): Kraft Heinz (significant write-down), Occidental Petroleum (write-down noted), BNSF Railway (lagging peers). These are headwinds Greg Able will need to address operationally.
Actionable Insights:
-
Watch Berkshire for a potential major acquisition catalyst. With $373B in cash and Able signaling discipline over forced plays, the next market dislocation could trigger a transformative deployment. The current setup rewards patience.
-
Data center companies are a structural AI beneficiary. OpenAI’s Stargate plan and similar initiatives across the industry mean data center operators are receiving “pre-paid” demand. This sector deserves dedicated research alongside pure-play AI names.
-
For space exposure, consider LUNR (Intuitive Machines) and KTOS (Kratos). These are the most specifically highlighted names. LUNR is the highest-risk/highest-reward pure-play; KTOS offers a more diversified defense + space profile. LMT and NOC are more conservative, large-cap additions to the same theme.
-
Track the NASA Artemis cadence. If NASA executes on its new schedule (Artemis 3 LEO test 2027, Artemis 4 moon landing 2028, then annual missions), the space economy stocks will have recurring catalysts. Any budget threat or delay is the key risk to monitor.
-
OpenAI IPO watch. If and when OpenAI goes public, the hosts expect it to be a major market event. Watch the funding round cadence — if they seek another round soon, IPO is further away; if this is the last, it may be within 1-2 years.
Chapter Summaries
Chapter 1: Berkshire Hathaway — Greg Able’s Inaugural CEO Letter
Warren Buffett has stepped down from the CEO chair after 60 years; Greg Able has assumed the role. Able’s first shareholder letter focused heavily on reassurance: he cited Charlie Munger’s endorsement (“Greg will keep the culture”) and reiterated commitments to decentralized management, corporate integrity over profit, and Buffett’s capital allocation philosophy. Notably, Buffett remains chairman and still goes into the office five days a week at age 90+. Financially, Q4 showed a 30% drop in operating earnings to $10B, driven by a 54% collapse in insurance underwriting profits and a 25% fall in investment income — both tied to falling short-term rates and softening casualty insurance pricing. The $373B cash pile remains untouched. Able is positioned as a more operational, engineering-minded steward than a visionary stock picker, taking direct oversight of the equity portfolio and focusing on making existing subsidiaries (energy, rail) more efficient.
Chapter 2: OpenAI’s $110 Billion Funding Round
OpenAI closed a $110B funding round — its largest ever — valuing the company at $730B pre-money (≈$840B post). Founded just 10 years ago, it would rank as the 14th largest S&P 500 company if public. Amazon committed $50B, Nvidia $30B, and SoftBank provided the balance. The capital is earmarked for: the Stargate initiative ($500B multi-year data center and energy infrastructure buildout), talent acquisition (lucrative equity packages to attract top AI researchers), and premium data licensing deals with media organizations. OpenAI’s revised spending target is $600B by 2030. The hosts speculate this may be the final pre-IPO round, though Rachel Warren notes the spending pace could necessitate another round before a public offering.
Chapter 3: OpenAI + Nvidia + Amazon Partnerships
Beyond the capital injection, the funding round represents strategic partnerships. Amazon’s involvement includes OpenAI developing agentic commerce tools for Amazon’s platform — a high-potential trend still in early stages. Nvidia’s $30B investment deepens its position as the preferred compute provider, as OpenAI pre-pays for future GPU capacity. Both Amazon and Nvidia now hold meaningful equity stakes (≈6% and ≈3.5% respectively). Matt Frankl highlights data center companies as below-the-radar beneficiaries: they are receiving pre-committed AI demand from multiple frontier model companies simultaneously.
Chapter 4: NASA Artemis Overhaul — Accelerated Moon Timeline
NASA announced a major structural overhaul of the Artemis program under Administrator Jared Isaacman. Mission cadence is shifting from one mission every 3 years to one mission every 10 months — matching Apollo era pace. Key changes: Artemis 3 is redefined as a low-Earth orbit test mission (practicing docking with SpaceX and Blue Origin commercial landers, testing new spacesuits) slated for mid-2027. The original Artemis 3 moon landing objective is now Artemis 4, targeting 2028. Annual crewed landings are planned thereafter, with Artemis 10 (scheduled for 2035 at the earliest) targeting a 180-day lunar stay. The hosts are skeptical about a “permanent settlement” within a decade but believe regular crewed missions and an Antarctica-style outpost are realistic. Key public company beneficiaries: Lockheed Martin (Orion capsule), Northrop Grumman (propulsion), Intuitive Machines / LUNR (cargo), and Kratos Defense / KTOS (satellite communications / Earth-Moon relays).